"საქართველო და მსოფლიო" - საზოგადოებრივ-პოლიტიკური გაზეთი

Georgia & World 

 

 arno xidirbegiSvili:

wigni qarTveli politikosebisa da politologebisTvis...

 

 

`SeiZleba xalxis nawili atyuo yovelTvis da mTeli xalxi _ garkveul xans,

magram mTel xalxs yovelTvis ver moatyueb!~                                     

                                                                                  abraam linkolni

 

 

sicrue maTi profesiaa, miuxedavad wodebisa, erovnebisa da mrwamsisa (Tu, saerTod, raimesi swamT, dolaris garda)! CvenTvis kargadaa nacnobi maTi saxeebi: isini xom yoveldRiurad teleekranebidan da gazeTebis furclebidan gvaswavlian, rogor vicxovroT, ra aris kargi da ra _ cudi... es politikani-propagandistebi fliugerebs mogvagoneben, radgan xSirad icvlian orientaciasa da liderebs, gadadian partiidan partiaSi, opoziciidan _ xelisuflebaSi (da piriqiT), magram esec sicruea: isini arasodes gascdebian scenaris CarCoebs da yovelTvis keTilsindisierad gamoimuSaveben gasamrjelos SemkveTis survilis SesrulebisTvis!

parlamentarebi da ministrebi, fsevdoopoziciuri partiebisa da moZraobebis liderebi, adgilobrivi `eqspert-politologebi~ da maTi ucxourgvariani kerpi `felgengaueri~, `jibis~ Jurnalistebi, romlebisTvisac ucxoa iseTi cnebebi, rogoricaa obieqturoba da sakuTari azri, _ isini garkveuli xnis manZilze atyuebdnen da atyueben mTel qarTvel xalxs, magram es yovelTvis ar gamouvaT!

mkiTxvels ubralo eqsperiments vTavazob: daiviwyos crupentelebi da Tavad upasuxos yvelaze saWirboroto kiTxvas: ra elis saqarTvelos momavalSi? darwmundebiT, rom elementaruli codnisa da sayovelTaod xelmisawvdomi informaciis analizis SemTxevevaSi, am kiTxvaze pasuxis gacema Zneli ar aris. amisaTvis sulac araa aucilebeli, vinmes Tavgza aubnio an xalxTa Soris SuRli Camoagdo, rogorc amas zemoxsenebuli batonebi sCadian (cxadia, ruseT-saqarTvelos urTierTobebis gauaresebis saqmeSi wvlilis SetanisTvis isini uTuod dajildovdebian, magram amaze sxva dros). maS, ase, daviwyoT:

rogorc viciT, dRes londonSi, `20~-is ekonomikuri samitis dawyebamde, aSS-is axalarCeuli prezidenti barak obama pirvelad Sexvdeba Tavis rus kolegas _ dimitri medvedevs. TeTri saxlis presmdivnis _ robert gibsis amaswinandeli gancxadebiT, obama, romlis administraciac ruseTTan urTierTobis `gadatvirTvisken~ miiswrafvis, am Sexvedras mouTmenlad elis.

ratom? imitom, rom am Sexvedrazea damokidebuli aSS-is momavali!

Soridan ratom movuare? imitom, rom saqarTvelos momavalic amarikisa da ruseTis prezidentebis Sexvedrazea damokidebuli da ara _ saqarTvelos prezidentze...

raze SeTanxmdebian medvedevi da obama da rogor aisaxeba es saqarTveloze? _ swored amis ganWvretas SevecdebiT. ase rom, vagrZelebT.

ra uZRoda win am Sexvedras? ra da, moxseneba `aSS-is politikis swori gezi ruseTis mimarT~, romelic obamas davalebiT moamzada arasaxelmwifo komisiam ruseTis mimarT aSS-is politikis dargSi, yofili senatorebis _ Cak heigelisa da hari hartis xelmZRvanelobiT.

aq mxolod ramdenime debulebasa da rekomendacias moviyvan aRniSnuli moxsenebidan:

_ mcirea im qveynebis ricxvi, romlebic ruseTiviT mniSvnelovania Cveni warmatebisTvis;

_ Cven unda gavaumjobesoT ruseTis interesebis Cveneuli aRqma imis Sesabamisad, Tu rogor gansazRvraven maT Tavad rusebi;

_ aSS-ma unda gadaxedos raketsawinaaRmdego Tavdacvis gegmebis ganxorcielebas CexeTsa da poloneTSi da SeimuSaos axali midgoma potenciuri iranuli saraketo safrTxisgan Tavdasacavad;

_ ukrainisa da saqarTvelos prodasavluri miswrafebebis mqone xelisuflebaTa mxardaWeris sademonstraciod gamoinaxos sxva gza, natoSi am qveynebis gawevrebis nacvlad;

_ ganvaaxloT ruseTTan aqtiuri muSaoba saerTaSoriso terorizmTan, birTvuli iaraRis gavrcelebis winaaRmdeg brZolis farglebSi da ama wlis dekembramde SevimuSaoT xelSekruleba, romelic Secvlis strategiuli SeteviTi SeiaraRebis SezRudvis Taobaze  ukve arsebul dokuments;

_ ruseTsa da evropis qveynebTan erTad SevimuSaoT evropis usafrTxoebis axali arqiteqtura;

_ Sesruldes yvela aucilebeli samuSao ruseTis msoflio savaWro organizaciaSi misaRebad da jeqson-venikis Sesworebebis gasauqmeblad;

_ rac SeiZleba frTxilad vakritikoT ruseTi, saSinao politikisa da adamianis uflebebis viTarebis gamo; aSS-ma gansakuTrebuli yuradReba unda miaqcios rusi liderebis yvela gancxadebas demokratiisa da adamianebis uflebebis dacvis sferoSi saerTaSoriso valdebulebebis  erTgulebis Sesaxeb. amave dros, pativi sces ruseTis suverenitets, istoriasa da tradiciebs imis gaTvaliswinebiT, rom rusi sazogadoeba mis mier arCeuli sakuTari gziT ivlis;

_ vaRiaroT yofili ssrk-is teritoria ruseTis gansakuTrebuli interesebis zonad. aSS unda moeridos ruseTTan konkurencias am regionSi. aseTi konkurencia daazaralebs, upirvelesad, aSS-s, imitom, rom ruseTi am regionSi imyofeba, aSS ki _ ara. ruseTs postsabWoTa sivrceSi legitimuri interesebi aqvs, romlebsac zogjer miuRebeli meTodebiT icavs.

ram miiyvana cnobili da gavleniani amerikeli politikosebi amnair daskvnebamde? ori sityviT gipasuxebT: iman, rom ori `b~-s formulam _ Teoretikos bzeJinskisa da praqtikos buSisa _ ar gaamarTla; globaluri dominirebis filosofiam _ `aSS usafrTxoebas qmnis, danarCenebi ki mas moixmaren~ _ waiborZika ruseTze, romlis winaaRmdeg sanqciebma Tavad mesanqcireebi `gayina~ da maT mier provocirebulma globalurma finansurma krizisma, eraysa da avRaneTSi gaCaRebulma brZolebma aiZula, aRiaron, rom msoflio ukve aRaraa erTpolaruli! amerika ganwirulia ruseTTan, rogorc mokavSiresTan, TanamSromlobisaTvis da, rac ufro gulwrfelad moimoqmedebs amas, miT metad sasikeTo iqneba misTvis!

ra elis saqarTvelos, romelic, rogorc zemoxsenebul moxsenebaSia naTqvami, ruseTis gansakuTrebuli da legitimuri interesebis zonaSia da romelic natoSi ar unda miiRon?

`saqarTvelos Temas erT-erT argumentad gamoiyeneben am did vaWrobaSi, romelic bolosdabolos misi mitovebiT dasruldeba. me amaSi darwmunebuli var. ar aqvs mniSvneloba, es axla moxdeba Tu mogvianebiT~, _ ase pasuxobs am SekiTxvas politologi aleqsandre WaWia, saqarTvelos socialuri da nacionaluri urTierTobebis akademiis vice-prezidenti, ruseTis socialur mecnierebaTa akademiis akademikosi, politikur mecnierebaTa doqtori. Znelia, mas ar daeTanxmo...

konkretulad ra movlenebis ganviTarebas unda velodoT? am kiTxvaze pasuxis gasacemad unda gaviTvaliswinoT, rom:

a)           saqarTvelos amJamindeli xelisufleba da prezidenti saakaSvili nebayoflobiT ar moixsnian uflebamosilebebs da vadamde ar gadadgebian (rac sajarod araerTxel ganucxadebiaT);

b)          kremli saqarTvelos amJamindel xelisuflebasTan  da prezident saakaSvilTan dialogs kategoriulad gamoricxavs (rac araerTxel ganucxadebia sajarod);

rCeba variantebi, romlebsac fors-maJori ewodeba da romlebic adre aRvwere erT-erT publikaciaSi. movlenaTa SesaZlo ganviTarebis iq moyvanili 6 scenaridan gavixseneb ramdenimes:

Sinaomi. xelisuflebisa da opoziciis dapirispirebis Sedegad, qveyana, SesaZloa, samoqalaqo omis zRvarze aRmoCndes, maSin, gaerTianebuli opoziciis TxovniT, ruseTis jarebi saqarTvelos mTel teritoriaze Semovlen, misi mravalerovani mosaxleobis dacvisa da konstituciuri wesrigis damyarebis mizniT (1993 wels kitovani-ioseliani-siguas samxedro sabWom, SevardnaZis xelmZRvanelobiT, ruseTs daxmareba sTxova da admiral baltinis xomaldebma desanti gadmosxes, romelmac ixsna isini quTaiss momdgari, gandevnili prezident gamsaxurdias momxre samxedro formirebebisgan).

kriminaluri omi. prezident saakaSvilis damxobis mizniT, saqarTveloSi dabrundebian kriminaluri avtoritetebi da saakaSvilis mier ganawyenebul yofil maRalCinosnebsa da oligarqebTan erTad daiwyeben kriminalur `garCevebs~ (rogorc es 1993 wlis mere iyo), ris Semdegac sagangebod Seqmnili xsnis sabWo ruseTs konstituciuri wesrigisa da samoqalaqo mosaxleobis dacvis TxovniT mimarTavs.

saxalxo revolucia. xalxi Tavad gadawyvets Tavisi xelisuflebis beds. maSin saqarTvelos xalxis mier arCeuli xelisufleba da prezidenti eyoleba, romlebsac agvistos omTan saqme ar hqonia, xolo ruseTs saqarTvelos Sida saqmeebSi CarevisTvis aRaraviTari safuZveli ar eqneba!

 Tumca aleqsandre WaWias sxva informaciac aqvs: `arsebobs mosazreba, rom omis provocirebas saqarTvelos xelisufleba moaxdens imisTvis, rom qveynidan gaZevebuli iqnas ara qarTveli xalxis, aramed ruseTis armiis mier, raTa wamebulis, ZaliT gandevnili mTavrobis statusi SeiZinos~.

ratom? inebeT: axsovs ra, putinis `zraxvebi~ misi personis mimarT da isic, rom saqarTvelo-samxreT oseTis konfliqtis mizezebis Semswavleli evrokavSiris saerTaSoriso komisia haidi taliavinis xelmZRvanelobiT sadacaa Tavis daskvnas gamoaqveynebs da damnaSaves _ 2008 wlis agvistos omis iniciators _ daasaxelebs, prezidenti saakaSvili, albaT, uars ar ityvis rusuli jarebis mier gaZevebulis `dafnis gvirgvinze~, rac mas, `meored mosvlis~ perspeqtivas Tu ara, prezident SevardnaZis msgavsad, piradi xelSeuxeblobis garantias mainc miscems!

aramed eduard ambrosis Zis xsenebisas (romelsac Tavisi angariSebi aqvs mixeil saakaSvilTan!) mxedvelobaSia misaRebi is faqti, rom obamasTan Sesaxvedrad medvedevs SevardnaZis megobrebi amzadebdnen: niqsonis administraciis saxelmwifo mdivani henri kisinjeri, reiganis administraciis saxelmwifo mdivani jorj Sulci, jorj buS-ufrosis administraciis saxelmwifo mdivani jeims beikeri, xolo ruseTis mxridan _ Tbiliselebi evgeni primakovi, igor ivanovi da TbilisSi amierkavkasiis samxedro olqis (ЗакВО) Stabis ufrosad namsaxurebi iuri baluevski _ es  is xalxia, vinc Cinebulad icnobs saqarTvelos, mis xalxsa da enas (armiis generali baluevski saqarTveloze lirikuli leqsebis avtoria, Tanac am leqsebs qarTulad werda!).

amgvarad, Zvirfaso mkiTxvelebo, sxvis dauxmarebladac gaverkvieT Seqmnil politikur situaciaSi da uaxloesi momavali gviCvenebs _ SevmcdarvarT Tu ara...

P.S. natos cnobilma apologetma da qarTvel politologTa `beladma~, saqarTvelos diplomatiuri akademiis reqtorma soso cincaZem (warsulSi _ saqarTvelos kompartiis cekas leqtor-propagandistma) 5 marts `kavkasiis~ teleeTerSi ganacxada, rom diplomatiis mTavari principia _ yvela kvercxi erT kalaTSi ar Seinaxo... minda, davazusto: es principi moqmedebs maSin, roca kvercxebi gaqvs, xolo utifar crupentelebs isini ar gaaCniaT! maT _ politikis `fliugerebs~, `felgengauerebsa~ da `feldegerebs~, vai-poziciisa da o-poziciis warmomadgenlebs, staJian proqtolog-politologebsa da maT norC `klonebs~, diplomatebs _ `klounebs~, `xelmwifis karis~ teleJurnalistebsa da sxvadasxva juris aferistebs _ vinc mTeli am wlebis ganmavlobaSi mxolod `buSis barklebiT~ ikvebeboda da sityva `mama~-s nacvlad `meTiu~-s warmoTqvamda, vinc varskvlavebiT moWedil cas Sescqeroda da aSS-is varskvlavzolebian droSas xedavda, visTvisac qristianuli jvari natos oTxqimian emblemas warmoadgenda, vurCev, waikiTxos profesor g. rolederis 1927 wels gamocemuli monografia `onanizmi~ (mizezebi, sneulebis warmoSoba, gamafrTxilebeli zomebi, mkurnaloba)! vinicobaa, uSvelos...